Emerging market research
We examine real-world data to separate persistent shifts from short-lived noise.
Decision models need more than a compatible API
A fresh repository and documentation audit separates the supply of typed decision systems from the evidence needed to trust their probabilities, thresholds and local ports.
02 · 30 September 2026GitHub documentation audit · research contextModel quality needs a serving baseline
A fresh audit of evaluation and monitoring tools asks what can distinguish a changed model from a changed prompt, runtime, account tier or serving path.
03 · 28 August 2026GitHub · agent research · Discovery evidenceSelf-improving agents are advancing faster than change control
An eight-month GitHub cohort measures whether agent runtimes can change their own prompts, skills, memory, or harnesses, and whether those changes are evaluated, approved, versioned, and reversible.
04 · 28 August 2026GitHub · operator evidence · Discovery evidenceLong-running agent costs are becoming a systems problem
An eight-month implementation cohort measures the controls used to contain context growth, repeated execution, retries, and model spend in long-running AI agents.
05 · 28 August 2026GitHub · workflow-learning research · Discovery evidenceRecorded work is becoming reusable agent behavior
An eight-month GitHub cohort tests whether screen recordings, UI trajectories, and human demonstrations are being converted into portable agent skills rather than one-off automation replays.
06 · 28 August 2026GitHub · robotics research · Discovery evidencePhysical agents are beginning to need a compatibility layer
An eight-month GitHub and cross-signal cohort measures common interfaces, device adapters, capability schemas, simulation tests, and safety controls across robots, laboratory equipment, and industrial machines.
07 · 21 August 2026GitHub · Discovery evidenceAgent skills and plugins are becoming a software supply chain
An updated repository cohort tests whether reusable agent skills and plugins are becoming portable, permissioned, evaluated software artifacts.
08 · 20 August 2026arXiv · GitHubWhere AI is accelerating across health and science
A 19-month comparison separates AI supply across clinical diagnostics, drug discovery, biology, patient operations, materials, mathematics, and autonomous science.
09 · 20 August 2026arXiv · GitHub · Product HuntAI supply is expanding unevenly from research to code
A 19-month longitudinal study compares scientific output with visible open-source implementation to measure where AI technology supply is accelerating. Product Hunt is retained separately as a commercial-visibility check.
10 · 14 August 2026Data Analysis · AILANTA archiveHow fast does a technology market form?
Observed stage transitions reveal where market formation moves quickly and where confirmation still takes weeks.
11 · 14 August 2026Market Map · AILANTA archiveThe emerging technology market map
Sixty canonical signal lines reveal where activity, evidence density, research, and verified opportunities are accumulating.
12 · 14 August 2026Data Analysis · AILANTA archiveWhere technology evidence becomes market evidence
A stricter evidence audit measures the distance from research and building activity to products, operators, demand, and capital.
13 · 12 August 2026GitHub · npm · PyPI · Discovery evidenceAI memory is becoming an auditable data layer
A GitHub and package-registry cohort tests whether persistent agent memory is acquiring provenance, retention, deletion, access-control, and poisoning defenses.
14 · 12 August 2026GitHub · HF Daily Papers · Discovery evidenceAI research agents are creating a verification economy
An open-source and scientific-publication cohort measures whether autonomous research systems produce reproducible artifacts, execute experiments, and expose independent verification.
15 · 12 August 2026GitHub · npm · Discovery evidenceWorkspaces are becoming native runtimes for AI agents
A repository and package cohort tests whether persistent state, shared artifacts, permissions, handoffs, and completed actions are replacing chat-only AI features.
16 · 12 August 2026GitHub · Hugging Face · Discovery evidenceVoice AI is testing direct speech-to-speech runtimes
GitHub and Hugging Face cohorts compare native audio-in/audio-out systems with transcription-based voice-agent pipelines.
17 · 6 August 2026GitHub · npm · Discovery evidenceAgent security is becoming a runtime stack
A seven-month GitHub, package, and incident-evidence cohort measures identity, sandboxing, authorization, audit, and recovery around autonomous actions.
18 · 6 August 2026GitHub · Hugging Face · Discovery evidenceGenerative AI is moving from rendered output to editable assets
GitHub, Hugging Face, and research evidence measure whether AI systems produce native CAD, 3D, layered, and manufacturing-ready artifacts rather than flat media.
19 · 6 August 2026GitHub · npm · Discovery evidenceAI agents are creating a new web access layer
GitHub, package, and operator evidence measure browser execution, live grounding, machine-readable interfaces, and controls protecting sites from agent traffic.
20 · 28 July 2026GitHub · platform policies · rights platforms · DiscoveryAI trust is expanding into a rights and delegation stack
A seven-month cross-signal study measures the shift from post-hoc detection toward provenance, identity, licensing, delegated agent trust, and regulated workflows.
21 · 28 July 2026GitHub · Hugging Face · npm · OpenRouterAI infrastructure is splitting between hyperscale and the edge
A six-month cross-signal study measures centralized inference, local runtimes, routing infrastructure, model economics, and the role of Chinese open-weight ecosystems.
22 · 25 July 2026GitHub · npm · PyPI · Discovery evidenceContent authenticity is moving from detection to provenance
A seven-month GitHub cohort and package-usage snapshot test whether provenance, credentials, and identity binding are becoming an infrastructure category.
23 · 24 July 2026GitHub · npm · PyPI · Model catalogModel routing is becoming the AI procurement control plane
A seven-month GitHub cohort, package usage, and a live model catalog test whether model choice is becoming an operational control layer.
24 · 22 July 2026GitHub · Discovery evidenceComputer-use agents are moving beyond browser sandboxes
GitHub implementations and research evidence test whether desktop agents can operate real applications across operating systems.
25 · 22 July 2026GitHub · Discovery evidenceGenerative media is becoming a controllable production system
GitHub and Hugging Face cohorts measure control features relative to the broader generative-video supply.
26 · 22 July 2026GitHub · Discovery evidenceAI is becoming a native device and operating-system layer
A targeted GitHub cohort and the existing local-runtime archive measure browser, mobile, desktop, and edge deployment surfaces.
27 · 22 July 2026GitHub · Discovery evidenceSoftware is exposing actions directly to AI agents
A protocol and product cohort measures software surfaces designed for agents to execute authenticated actions and transactions.
28 · 19 July 2026Hugging Face · GitHubChinese open AI is forming its own ecosystem
2,684 models and 655 GitHub projects show a shift from isolated model export toward derivatives, infrastructure, and applications.
29 · 17 July 2026GitHub · Hugging FaceVoice AI is scaling infrastructure before vertical workflows
368 projects and 919 models show speech infrastructure expanding while specialized, regulated workflows remain below 10%.
30 · 17 July 2026GitHub · Hugging Face · HF Daily PapersPhysical AI is becoming a modular stack
492 projects and 683 models show a shift from a humanoid-only bet toward VLA, manipulation, simulation, and shared platforms.
31 · 16 July 2026arXiv · GitHub · HF Daily PapersAutonomous research agents are moving into experimentation
140 papers and 309 open implementations reveal rapid category growth and a critical verification gap.
32 · 16 July 2026GitHub · Hugging Face · npmLocal AI is becoming a deployment stack
How GGUF, llama.cpp, MLX, and browser runtimes are turning local inference into a distinct technology layer.
33 · 16 July 2026GitHub · Market formationWhere new projects outpace the market
Comparing GitHub's active ecosystem with new projects reveals themes accelerating at the edge.
34 · 16 July 2026GitHub · Technical emergenceThe agent wave is shifting from brands to practice
Six expanded cohorts show normalization after a March peak and growing portable practices.
35 · 15 July 2026GitHub · Agent infrastructureAI agent infrastructure moves from orchestration to control
5,964 repositories reveal a shift from general orchestration toward memory, observability, and reliability.
36 · 12 July 2026Founder intelligence · Reddit + Indie HackersThe solo founder's main bottleneck is not building
What prevents small teams from launching, winning first customers, and reaching sustainable revenue.